Monday, December 21, 2015

Germany, Refugee Nation

By Roger Cohen
Dec. 21, 2015

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/12/22/opinion/germany-refugee-nation.html?comments#permid=17007926

I personally support Angela Merkel in her refugee policy wholeheartedly. I was born in Germany, but have been a US citizen for almost 50 years, so it is somewhat discouraging for me to witness the US I immigrated to some 50 years ago with the frightened, xenophobic US of today. My mother, just turned 95 and still very alert, lives in Germany, and she is not so enthused about the refugees, mirroring the attitude of a significant minority of Germans. The US, with its right-wing fanaticism as expressed by most of the GOP candidates, is going the nationalistic, right-wing path of Hungary, Poland, even Denmark. Right-wing, anti-foreigner attitudes are increasing everywhere. It is interesting to note that media coverage in, for example Germany, is much more balanced than in the US, where the sensationalist fear-mongering of most 24-hour news outlets, and many other media outlets, exploits the fears of people to gain "ratings" and thus ad revenue - Obama is right in this regard, as reported this morning. It should not be underestimated how such unbalanced news reporting can easily cause the US to spiral into irrational fear and hateful actions. When audiences cheer the fear and war-mongering statements of the Trumps, Christies ("I will shoot down Russian planes in Syria") and others, then we are very close to xenophobic insanity. There is no proof that terrorists have been funneled into western countries as Syrian refugees - there are enough "locals" eager to participate now.

Saturday, December 19, 2015

The Fate of Obamacare

by Ross Douthat
Dec. 19, 2015

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/12/20/opinion/sunday/the-fate-of-obamacare.html?comments#permid=16996855

"Maybe that debate will happen. But it seems just as likely that the new budget is less a prelude than the sign of a new normal, in which Obamacare is neither fixed nor fully paid for nor furiously opposed, but simply limps along with the rest of our health care system for as long as both can limp."

Substitute any other of the many serious issues facing the US for "Obamacare" in the above, and you have a perfect description of the dysfunction of the current Congress.

The failure to include the needed new taxes to help fund Obamacare into the new spending bill is not happenstance; it is the deliberate Republican effort to continue to fight a clandestine "war of attrition" against ObamaCare. 

How to make a national healthcare insurance system work is no big secret - just look at ANY other such system implemented by other "advanced" (and some not so advanced) countries, and they put the US system to shame, both in terms of cost and healthcare available to the AVERAGE person. The fact that the US refuses to learn from such experience is a result of the arrogance ("American exceptionalism") and ignorance ("those failed socialist states in Europe") of our elected officials, and by extension, of large portions of the American population.

Thursday, December 17, 2015

The G.O.P. at a Crossroads

by Ross Douthat
Dec. 17, 2015

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/12/17/opinion/campaign-stops/the-gop-at-a-crossroads.html?comments&_r=0#permid=16980156

Ever since Nixon's "Southern Strategy" (where white resentment against the Civil Rights legislation by Democrats was used by Republicans), Republicans have, sometimes successfully, used fear mongering to try and gain votes, that is, to accentuate the distrust and fears between various groups inside the US and towards countries and societies outside the US, inciting and fanning these irrational fears and ruthlessly using them to try and gain votes. This strategy is especially successful with the less educated, poor and disenfranchised whites.

The current campaign is the logical conclusion of this long-standing GOP strategy, still successful at the local and state level, due to jerrymangering and demography, but increasingly a dead-end strategy at the national level.

When I listened to Tuesday's debate, it was dominated by irrational fear-mongering (immigration and ISIS in this case) - there are more Americans killed on a daily basis in the US than by ISIS in a whole year. So the frenetic fear mongering of virtually all candidates is completely fact-free, parallel universe. If these candidates truly were concerned about keeping the homeland safe, they woul worry much more about domestic gun ownership that threading to "carpet bomb ISIS" and "kill the families of terrorists".

Monday, December 14, 2015

CNN weeklong hype of its GOP debate...


I wonder if CNN has any idea how pathetic they look with their days, if not weeks, of hype and mind-numbing speculation about what the various candidates will do.

If CNN were to spend even a fraction of the time and resources on analyzing actual policy positions, such as they are, by the various candidates, rather than simply speculating about their various strategies, the American public might actually come to learn something on the basis of which they could make an informed decision.

When interviewing candidates CNN concentrates its questions on trying to elicit some outrageous statement from one candidate about another candidate, rather that holding their feet to the fire about the mindless drivel that passes for policy statements today, like "I will build a beautiful wall...".

It is painfully obvious that for the most part CNN's "Personalities" would not recognize true Journalism if it bit them in the behind.

Saturday, December 5, 2015

Liberalism’s Gun Problem

by Ross Douthat
Dec. 5, 2015

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/12/06/opinion/sunday/liberalisms-gun-problem.html?comments#permid=16868873

This piece is typical of what the two conservative columnists at the NYT (Douthat and Brooks) have been producing lately - they are both intelligent enough to realize that the Conservative/GOP today is nutty, but they can't quite bring themselves to full-heartedly acknowledge that.

Thus, this piece by Douthat starts by acknowledging the realization that the US's gun-craziness is just that - crazy. But then he goes into his typical convoluted arguments that the proposals for gun control somehow are not doable and/or that the evidence (pretty darn persuasive in my view) from virtually every other advanced society are somehow not applicable to the US, or worse, would somehow weaken our Constitutional liberties - BTW, I feel the latest Supreme Court ruling on gun ownership is completely nutty 

(https://www.blogger.com/blogger.g?blogID=2968903144787006962#editor/targ...

The craziness of the GOP is highlighted by the recent vote in Congress to DEFEAT a bill that would do nothing more than prevent people on the FBI Terrorist Watch List from purchasing guns - can there be anything more ridiculous?!

Douthat's last line of defense is to argue that, because there are already 300+ million guns in circulation, it would take fascist/dictatorial-like measures the "disarm" the country. The problem will not be solved all at once, but we need to start somewhere!!!

Wednesday, December 2, 2015

San Bernardino Gunmen Kill at Least 14, ....

Jeb Bush’s Strange New Ad

by Andrew Rosenthal
DECEMBER 1, 2015 2:15 PM

http://takingnote.blogs.nytimes.com/2015/12/01/jeb-bushs-strange-new-ad/?comments#permid=16827713

Jeb Bush is desperate and should try and save what dignity he (and the Bush clan in general) have left and withdraw from the race.

However, to be clear, many, many of our elected representative, from the President on down, cynically use members of the armed forces, our "heroes", as backdrops for political messaging, and then turn right around and prevent the necessary VA spending bills to properly take care of the huge number of physically, mentally and emotionally damaged heroes.

This kind of self-serving, politically motivated "hero-worship" is, unfortunately, standard practice in American politics. Given that, Mr. Rosenthal's wonderment at Jeb's blatant misuse of heroes is somewhat odd.




Donald Trump’s Appeal


by Thomas B. Edsall
Dec 2, 2015

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/12/02/opinion/campaign-stops/donald-trumps-appeal.html?comments#

I think the answer to the question of Trump's appeal is much simpler: we, the US, have become a country that believes what is shown in "Reality Shows" is actually "reality".
The media, and especially the "milk toast" group that passes itself off as "journalists", are part and parcel of this phenomenon. Every day CNN, MSNBC and the others ask in wonderment about the sustained popularity of Trump, when it is they themselves that ensure that sustained popularity. Every time Trump says something outlandish, the media spend hours and hours for days on end, with all sorts of talking-head "experts" filling the screen, speculating about this non-issue, which is exactly what keeps Trump at the forefront in our media-centric society.
For example, after an initial report of the "thousands of Muslims in New Jersey" cheering on 9/11, is the endless speculation about this really justified, given the boat-load of real issues which need and should be raised by "journalists" (if we still had them)?
But this type of stuff is easy for the taking heads to speculate about - it takes no actual knowledge and no work to inform oneself about real issues, and it fills the endless hours of 24hr news shows during which they can sell ads.
So there is no mystery here about the sustained popularity of Trump - "it's the media, stupid" - paraphrasing "it's the economy, stupid" - not calling anyone names.

Putin’s Syrian Misadventure

by Thomas Friedman
Dec 2, 2015

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/12/02/opinion/02friedman.html?comments#permid=16822471

As usual, Friedman's analysis of the Middle East is half-baked.

It is easy to make fun of Putin's bumbling into the Middle East morass, but everything, and more, one can critique in Putin's steps can be held against the US's efforts in the region in the past 20 years - again, which Friedman supported. He points to the two Russian soldiers and the 224 airline casualties as "proof" of Putin's folly - what about the 5000 US soldiers killed and 100's of thousands maimed for life?

Whatever may be wrong with Putin's approach, he is spot on in maintaining that just "defeating" ISIS and pushing Assad out of power will leave a power vacuum, leading to more radical groups creating their own little fiefdoms - Libya is a case in point.

The US especially has this crazy view that just by getting rid of un-democratic leaders (BTW, the US has installed its fair share of despotic leaders when it suited its economic and political objectives) will miraculously lead to liberal, democratic governments. Iraq, Afghanistan and Libya are objects lessons in the fallacy, yes idiocy of that approach.

The fallback position of the nutty neocons is the crazy notion that "the world is better off without Saddam" - ask most of the Iraqis now living in the smoldering remains of what was once a stable, even liberal country - women were treated much better by Saddam than by today's leaders - or ask the 100's of thousands of Iraqis now dead as a result of the US's "nation building" effort.

Monday, November 30, 2015

Laquan McDonald and the ‘System’

by Charles Blow
Nov. 30, 2015

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/11/30/opinion/laquan-mcdonald-and-the-system.html?comments#permid=16803460

"While police departments definitely have distinct cultures, in a way they are simple instruments that articulate and enforce our laws and mores, which are reflections of our values.

The only reason that these killings keep happening is because most of American society tacitly approves or willfully tolerates it. There is no other explanation. If America wanted this to end, it would end."

Mr. Blow, you are focusing your ire on the wrong group, the police!
That is the same as blaming the soldiers that go to war at the behest of ignorant politicians for all the killing that goes on in war.

Yes, there is prejudice and injustice in society, but the root cause does not lie with police, it lies with society in general and with the politicians who we elect to manage our society. Blaming the police for these broader ills in our society is completely counter productive - the veneer of civilization in all societies, even in the so-called "advanced" societies - is very thin. The police are the main guarantors of order, and that includes order within black communities.

The people who have taken over the "Black Lives Matter" movement want to exclude any discussion of black-on-black violence and murder from the discussion through the mechanism of political correctness. But if you really care about black lives, you would focus at least some of your outrage on the killings which are taking black lives daily through mindless violence.

Sunday, November 15, 2015

Terror in Paris

What exactly do the wise persons of the NYT Editorial Board mean when they piosly decalre "This attack will harden the resolve of the French against the savagery of the Islamic State, as it must the world’s"?
From the first three commentors it is obvious that even among the NYT readers the predicable knee-jerk Linsey Graham-esc response of "boots on the ground" will be the dominant reaction. 
Supposedly reputable publications like the NYT need to stop with the hyerventilating, irresponsible and polemicizing characterizations like "incomprehensible barberism", which only serve to prevent rational search for solutions.
Virtually every week we have "incomprehensible acts of barbarism" in the US, mass shootings in schools, in the work place, and senseless drive by shootings. The US has committed "incomprehensible acts of barbarism" in Iraq and Afghanistan" which are coldly characterized as "collateral damage".
We, the US, are the primary cause of the instability in the Middle East, which has spawned the terror. We have proven that military action, "boots on the ground" cannot pacify, stabilize, or democratize countries and societies which do not have the internal will or capacity to do so. So let's not make the same mistake we made in Afghanistan, where we thought that "killing Osama bin Laden" would be the miracle cure.


Marcos59

 mht NH 23 hours ago

Brave words, Klaus! They suggest that you don't believe that what happened in Paris (or New York or Madrid or London) is barbarism. And you don't want us to "make the same mistake we made in Afghanistan." But you fail to suggest any course of action other than hand wringing about America's responsibility in spawning this Islamic terror (isn't Islamic terror by definition barbaric because it specifically targets innocents?). My question to you is: what now?

@Marcos59
No, obviously, what Islamic fanatics are doing all over the world is barbaric. But you don't respond to barbaric acts of others with barbaric acts of our own - one would hope that that kind of thing was left in the Dark Ages - where, unfortunately, much of the Islamic Middle East still resides.

"What now?", you ask. Well, first, if you have nothing sensible, with any chance of success - "boots on the ground" have been proven not to work - then lets take a breath and THINK a little while before DOING something stupid.
We know, for example, that the roots of fanatic Islam are found in our "ally" Saudia Arabia, and to a lesser extent in Pakistan. Can we perhaps start by being honest with ourselves and with others by putting pressure on our "allies" like Saudi Arabia to stop exporting, fostering and financing fanatic islamists?

There are lots of things short of we ourselves committing barbaric acts which can be done to re-stabilize the Middle East. But bombing the hell out of them is not one of them...
What exactly do the wise persons of the NYT Editorial Board mean when they piosly decalre "This attack will harden the resolve of the French against the savagery of the Islamic State, as it must the world’s"?

From the first three commentors it is obvious that even among the NYT readers the predicable knee-jerk Linsey Graham-esc response of "boots on the ground" will be the dominant reaction. 
Supposedly reputable publications like the NYT need to stop with the hyerventilating, irresponsible and polemicizing characterizations like "incomprehensible barberism", which only serve to prevent rational search for solutions.
Virtually every week we have "incomprehensible acts of barbarism" in the US, mass shootings in schools, in the work place, and senseless drive by shootings. The US has committed "incomprehensible acts of barbarism" in Iraq and Afghanistan" which are coldly characterized as "collateral damage".
We, the US, are the primary cause of the instability in the Middle East, which has spawned the terror. We have proven that military action, "boots on the ground" cannot pacify, stabilize, or democratize countries and societies which do not have the internal will or capacity to do so. So let's not make the same mistake we made in Afghanistan, where we thought that "killing Osama bin Laden" would be the miracle cure.



Friday, November 13, 2015

Further Speculations on White Mortality

by Russ Douthat

NOVEMBER 12, 2015 12:55 PM

http://douthat.blogs.nytimes.com/2015/11/12/speculations-on-white-mortality/?comments#permid=16650339

Having lived in Europe for many years (Switzerland, Germany and France) I can't escape the feeling that the root cause fir the spike in death among whites is the sense of hope- and helplessness that has settled on large parts of the former middle class in America, brought on by what we are told is the "new normal" - stagnant growth, actually declining income among the middle class - without, contrary to the European model, a solid and dependable social safety net for guaranteed heath care and guaranteed minimum income. It is difficult to explain to Americans the deep sense of security one feels, especially for families, by knowing that heath care is always available, no matter what.
The reason this seems to have less of an impact on non-whites is that African-American and Hispanic minorities were already accustomed to this pervasive malaise from generations of living with it.
Why are women seemingly more affected? Possibly because more woman, especially among lower income groups, have become the primary supporters, so they are feeling the brunt of this new economic reality in the US.

Saturday, October 3, 2015

Here we go again … Gun Control vs. Individual Right to Bear Arms

It is predictable that this debate flares up again and again: A mass shooting of one kind or another occurs in the US on average on an almost daily basis. And this does not even include all the senseless killings of drive-by shootings and accidental shootings in the home. And these repeated hand-wringing debates always seem to completely miss the main point:
 The cause of most of these senseless deaths is the uncontrolled proliferation of firearms in the US.

As the President pointed out in his impassioned plea to the nation, the US does not have a higher proportion of mentally ill than other first-world nations, yet our rate of gun violence and deaths from firearms is exponentially higher than in all other first-world countries. The difference is that all other first-world societies have strict laws controlling the ownership and use of firearms.

Again we see the raising of bogus straw-man arguments about the role of mental illness and the benefits of expanded background checks in order to deflect from the real issue: uncontrolled proliferation of firearms of all sorts in the US.

This endless cycle of senseless violence and death, followed by a burst of hand-wringing debate, will not be resolved until the core issue is resolved: Does the 2nd Amendment guarantee an individual’s unrestricted right to arm himself to the teeth, independent of his (or her) current membership in “a well regulated Militia”?

As described in a New Yorker piece by Jeffrey Toobin (http://www.newyorker.com/news/daily-comment/so-you-think-you-know-the-second-amendment), written after the Sandy Hook massacre, the interpretation of the 2nd Amendment in the US until well into the 1970’s accepted the ability of the Federal Government to regulate the ownership and use of firearms. No one seriously objected, for example, when in the 1930’s federal laws were passed to prohibit ownership of machine guns and sawed off shotguns, favorite weapons of Mafia gangs. However, in 1977, according to Toobin, the NRA was taken over by a group of conservative extremists, who then initiated a concerted effort to change the interpretation of the 2nd Amendment.

This effort by the NRA culminated in the 2007 ruling in “District of Columbia vs. Heller” (http://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/07pdf/07-290.pdf), where expert testimony, academic research, and “Friend of the Court” briefs funded by the NRA constituted important underpinnings for Justice Scalia’s contorted ruling in favor of individual, uncontrolled gun ownership.

Justice Scalia first addresses the rather odd formulation of the 2nd Amendment, consisting of a “prefatory clause”, or statement of purpose (A well regulated Militia, being necessary to the security of a free State,..), and the “operative clause” (… the right of the people to keep and bear Arms, shall not be infringed.) Although Scalia states that his interpretation was guided by the principle that “[t]he Constitution was written to be under­ stood by the voters; its words and phrases were used in their normal and ordinary as distinguished from technical meaning”, a generally accepted standard of constitutional interpretation, Scalia then proceeds to use convoluted arguments, in conjunction with esoteric, and doubtful “academic” and linguistic studies, to “prove” that the “prefatory clause” does not limit in any way the “operative clause”, and bingo, we have the unconstrained statement that “[T]he right of the people to keep and bear Arms, shall not be infringed.

This interpretation is completely contrary to Scalia’s supposed guiding principle that “[t]he Constitution was written to be under­ stood by the voters;…” No one with the reading and comprehension skills of the average fifth grader would discard the statement of purpose (A well regulated Militia, being necessary to the security of a free State,..) as irrelevant and meaningless.

Although at this point, having invalidated (in his mind, anyway) the constraining effect of the “prefatory clause”, Scalia is essentially home free. However, showing the full extent of his perverse intellectual arrogance, he still engages in unbelievably convoluted arguments, all contrary to the principal that “[t]he Constitution was written to be under­ stood by the voters;…”, to further eliminate any possibility that the “operative clause”, “…keep and bear Arms…” might implicitly imply limitations to a militia only.

Even Justice Scalia has retained a certain amount of “common sense”, and recognizes that allowing individuals to “keep and bear Arms” cannot be allowed to include all kinds of modern weaponry. So again he engages in perverse intellectual masturbation to come up with the quite arbitrary constraint that this “preexisting right” to keep and bear Arms applies only to those type of weapons “in common use at the time” - at what time? at the time of writing the Constitution, or, since these rights are supposedly pre-existing, at some previous historic period? So is the allowed weaponry restricted to primitive stone-age clubs, bows and arrows, swords, or primitive pistols and muskets in use in the Constitution writing period? Certainly weapons “in common use at the time” do not include automatic or semi-automatic handguns.

Even though the crazy fringe of the “gun lobby” consistently makes the argument that the unconstrained right to keep and bear Arms is necessary to protect us from “the government”, nothing in Justice Scalia’s opinion supports that view. On the contrary, in his concluding paragraph he refers only to “…handguns held and used for self-defense in the home.” Thus, we are to believe that the framers of the Constitution and Bill of Rights, whose overriding concerns were in protecting citizens from arbitrary powers of “the state” and of balancing States rights against federal powers, including the right of States to maintain their own Militias, that these framers were worrying about the ability of individuals to have handguns in their home to protect themselves, and that the thus wrote an Amendment specifically for that purpose.

On balance, as stated by Toobin, even with this “District of Columbia vs. Heller” ruling, which seems to restrict the meaning of the 2nd Amendment to an individual having a handgun in the home for self-defense, there is ample leeway for federal legislation to control the types and spread of firearms. But our political elite, and even most of the media, have been so cowed by the NRA that the current political and public dialog is restricted to extending background checks and diverted to the issue of mental health.


One final note: there exists a strong argument, originated by the German philosopher, sociologist and jurist, Max Weber, that a state can only exist if it holds a “monopoly of violence” (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monopoly_on_violence); anything else will inevitably result in anarchy. The situation in the US today is rapidly approaching anarchy: there are large areas, especially in our cities, where the “rule of law” is a fiction; young children are not safe in their homes (drive-by shootings) or in their schools (mass shootings), and the populace in general is not safe from gun violence in theaters, shopping malls or even in the central business districts during daylight hours. The “solution”, according to 2nd Amendment absolutists, is to arm everyone. With that, our society would devolve into one huge “Gunfight at the O.K. Corral”.

Thursday, September 17, 2015

Crazy Talk at the Republican Debate




Tuesday, September 8, 2015

Will the World Come To Europe?

by Ross Douthat

Sept. 8th, 2015

http://douthat.blogs.nytimes.com/2015/09/08/will-the-world-come-to-europe/?comments#permid=16024402

And your point is?...

You seem to implicitly argue for the Fence/Wall solutions of Hungary and Trump - b.t.w., perhaps Mr. Trump should travel to Hungary to give them his invaluable advice on how to build a WALL - not just a puny fence - and have someone else, in their case probably the Greeks, pay for it.

There have been huge migrations of populations in the past, and what we consider the "homogeneous, national identities" of nation states today are the results of these past migrations and mixing and assimilation of one culture into another. The US is turning more and more Latino, which is happening more or less naturally - yes, there are tensions with people like Trump fanning the flames, but it will continue to happen. How well we deal with it is up to us, and our political elite (not a comforting thought when one looks at the bevy of GOP candidates).

The same goes for Europe - Germany, in spite of its archaic and counter-productive "immigration" laws, has assimilated large numbers of Italians, Greeks and Turks, more or less peacefully, originally to satisfy its needs for labor to fuel the "Economic Miracle". There are demographic trends in Germany (and much of Europe) which require immigration and assimilation of "foreign" cultures. Again, how peacefully that happens is up to the people and their political elite. 

Let's hope for the best, because this process cannot be stopped!

------------

One more comment on this topic: watching the Euro Soccer Qualifying games, it is interesting to see the names on the various national team players, and how many are "foreign" names: Yesterday the German national team, and today the Swiss.

Admittedly, this is not entirely representative, but interesting none-the-less..

Integration of "foreign" nationalities and cultures is certainly possible, and even desirable.

-------------

I guess I'm having a discussion with myself :)
But anyway, one more point.

The current estimate is that 800,000 refugees will arrive in Germany this year (official estimate); unofficially this estimate has already been expanded to 1,000,000.
If one applied that to the US, it would be the equivalent of 4,000,000 "refugees" arriving in the US this year.

I hesitate to imagine how the US would react to that kind of an influx.

Monday, September 7, 2015

Jeb Bush, Family Ties and a Museum That Never Materialized

Thursday, September 3, 2015

The End of the Republican Party?

By Ross Douthat

SEPTEMBER 1, 2015 1:03 PM


http://douthat.blogs.nytimes.com/2015/09/01/the-end-of-the-republican-party/?comments#permid=15977519

What we are witnessing, I believe, is that conservatives are being caught up in and strangled by their own web of long running ignorance, lies, deception and devicive propaganda. They have bombarded their followers with this nonsence for decades, to the point where the rank and file have come to actually believe this nonesense. Trump has become the "pied piper" who takes all these idiodic conservative slogans, prejudices and lies and is leading a significant portion of the conservative true believers over the cliff.

No, I don't believe that the GOP will cease to exist because of this. But this will be a lesson for the more sane elements within the GOP (they do exist, see all the people who have chosen to depart from Senate and House) to realize, that spreading lies and misinformation and dogmatic nonesense has consequences: people will actually come to expect that you will deliver on the idiotic promises you made (reduce taxes, shrink government), and that you actually have a solution to the non-existent cataclysms (ObamaCare, Planned Parenthood) you have shouted about.

The actual record of GOP administrations in terms of deficit, taxes, big government, and solving social problems is dismal.

Wednesday, September 2, 2015

Between Iraq and a Hawk Base

G.O.P. presidential candidates are struggling to craft a foreign policy that can please the gung-ho and win in 2016 — without overpromising military force.


http://www.nytimes.com/2015/09/06/magazine/between-iraq-and-a-hawk-base.html?comments#permid=15969264

Conservative/neocon foreign policy is characterized by an appalling lack of knowledge about history and a frightening arrogance about what America should/can do in the world. Even without the lessons from the decades of British arrogance and stupidity in their foreign policy in the Middle East, the lessons of the US's recent blunders in Iraq, Iran and Afghanistan should suffice to show that WE, the US, have singular responsibility for destabilizing the entire region and unleashing the fanaticizm of the itra-Islam religious and tribal conflict there. The lack of acknowledgement of these FACTS by conservatives is either wilfull ignorance our arrogant stupidity.

Combine this with the woefully inadequate and ingnorant recommendations by our "intelligence" organization (remember "slam-dunk") and the extremely bad advice from our military leadership, and you have a recepie for more disasters. We completely underestimated the level of effort required to permanently "pacify" Iraq and Afghanistan. 

The supposed "national interest" we have there is completely fictional. "Fight them there to keep them away from our shores" has proven to be completely backwards: Only by going "there" and wreaking havok have we inspired "them" to come here and retaliate.

We have a fatal weakness, that when it comes to supposed "national security", our civilian leaders always defer to military advisors.

Friday, August 7, 2015

The Republican Scrum Begins

by Ross Douthat
August 7, 2015

What this first set of GOP debates showed, including the "second-tier" one, was how utterly bankrupt the GOP is in terms of fielding anyone with even an inkling of understanding for what the problems are which this country faces - they are NOT Planned Parenthood or ObamaCare.

The only person that seemed to have in inkling of an idea what's going on was Kasick. The others were trying to outdo each other in spouting the usual GOP nonesense about (1) strong military to defeat ISIS - there is no evidence, after 15 years and >5000 soldiers dead in Afghanistan and Iraq, that we know how to bring peace and democracy to anyone; (2) how quickly they will undo ObamaCare - Cruz, of course, will do it on "day one"; unlike God, he will do everything in one day; (3) how it is of the utmost national importance to defund Planned Parenthood (4) how high they will build the fence along the Rio Grand - unless they are willing to add a "death strip" like on the old Iron Curtain, no amount of fence, or even "the Wall" which Donald is promising, will keep people out.

The one area where I agree with Mr. Douthat is that SOME of the FOX questions were pointed - even though MOST of them were invitations on a silver platter to spout the normal GOP/FOX nonsense.

Monday, August 3, 2015

Review: Six Amendments: How and Why we should change the Constitution
by Justice John Paul Stevens

I admire Justice Steven for speaking out on problems with recent Supreme Court decisions, and I share the concerns indirectly expressed by the specific issues he chooses to address. Reading these critiques, as described by a former member of the “cabal” which is responsible for these terrible rulings, is quite illuminating, albeit, as a non-lawyer, quite tedious also.

Given the way in which Amendments to the Constitution must be proposed and ratified, however, it is virtually impossible that new Constitutional Amendments to remedy the described issues will ever be enacted. In the current polarized political environment, where State Legislatures, which must ratify, are predominantly under conservative/reactionary control, enacting even one of the six proposed Amendments, which generally have a progressive/liberal leaning, is virtually impossible. And this political polarization is only going to increase.

It is also disappointing to read the, in my non-legal view, rather simplistic Amendments proposed by Justice Stevens. Words, sentences, and language in general, to a lawyer are infinitely flexible, and can, under the weight of individual prejudices, be interpreted in virtually any way. 

Phrases such as “reference to natural criteria” (Gerrymandering) or “imposing reasonable limits” (Campaign Finance) impose absolutely no limits to a clever lawyer in terms of allowing virtually anything.

This is made painfully obvious by the current Supreme Court majority interpretation of the Second Amendment. Any “normal” person with rudimentary reading and comprehension skills at the grade school level would unhesitatingly interpret the Second Amendment as it was interpreted for the first 200 year - that it allows the possession of arms only in the context of State Militias, i.e to protect the sovereignty of States, NOT for any individual’s “protection”, however that is interpreted.

Similarly, the current majority interpretation of a Corporation as person, and thus the protection of “its” free speech rights, separate, or in addition to, the free-speech rights of the individual members of the Corporation, are ludicrous. Corporations are a legal construct precisely to shield individual members from direct responsibility for actions by the “Corporate entity”, for the purpose of simplifying and enhancing commercial activity. 

If the Corporation as a “person” has the guaranteed right to free speech, does it also have the right to vote? Why not? Where is this arbitrary limit between a Corporate person and a natural person drawn?

This interpretation of the Corporation as a “person” is, in my view, consciously and unscrupulously designed to re-introduce special, if not exclusive” privileges for the “property owners”, the wealthy, as was quite commonly accepted at the time of the framing of the Constitution. That this is indeed the effect is amply documented by the increasing divergence in society between the poor and the rich - the rich, under cover of the smoke screen of "Corporations as persons", are relentlessly using their special political privileges and power. This is a far cry from any modern interpretation of democracy, and a far cry from the stated intentions of the Constitution.

In general, it seems to me, the Supreme Court is much too concerned with deciphering, or divining the original, literal meaning of the Constitution. Obviously, from the divergent opinions, even in just the last 50 years, these supposed original meanings can be interpreted in radically different ways. What should be part of the interpretation is to ensure that the Constitution remains relevant and useful, broadly within the original intent, in the context of a radically changed world. Otherwise the Constitution will become increasingly irrelevant in guiding America’s evolving democracy through an ever changing reality, which in no way resembles the reality of the Founding Fathers.

The proposed Amendments individually:

Anti-Commandeering:
If the basic thrust of this first suggested amendment, as the author suggests, is to enable federal gun control legislation, at least as far as background checks are concerned, to be "forced" on states in order to prevent another Sandy Hook, and the many other tragedies which have followed, it strikes me as a very indirect, and thus ineffective way of going about it. This can be much more directly, and much more globally achieved with a proper interpretation, or rewrite of the existing Second Amendment.
If, however, this proposed amendment is intended to extend federal powers over state powers, then I am ambivalent about its wisdom. The Federal Government does have a tendency to go overboard sometimes, especially when it decides that "national security" is involved. The Patriot Act, in my view is a prime example of federal overreach, which, in a panic over “national security” makes a laughing stock of “the Bill of Rights”.

Gerrymandering:
The possibility for "Gerrymandering" is really an outgrowth of another flaw in the U.S. Electoral System, namely that at almost all levels it is based on the "winner take all" principal. Thus, if geographic entities defined purely for the purpose of the electoral process, such as electoral districts, were eliminated, and only "sovereign" entities, such as counties and states remain, and in these remaining entities a proportional electoral system were set up, then the possibility for Gerrymandering would go away, and representation would be much more "proportional" to the actual social and political values and preferences of people in cities, counties and states.
Thus, if, according to population, a given State is entitled to “x” representatives, then different political parties would be allocated representatives according to their electoral results, from a prioritized list from each party - very likely with some minimum entry requirement. 
The critique, that the much ballyhooed “personal representation” would be hurt, is largely fiction - except for the rare high-profile citizen request, our representatives only listen to moneyed lobbyists, anyway.
Another advantage would be the emergence of more than the two “big tent” parties, which have been so institutionalized as to allow virtually no new entries, and which have usurped much too much control over the election process.

Campaign Finance:
Campaign Finance reform, and specifically the "Citizens United" ruling by the Supreme Court, goes to the heart of what is in my view currently the biggest problem faced by democracy in the US.
There are two areas where money plays an unholy role in American democracy: the power of the lobbies to determine legislation, and, in this case, the legal ability for money to determine the outcome of elections at all levels. This is enabled by the First Amendment, in its guarantee of the right of "the people" to partition their government, and perverted by the definition of “Corporations as people”.
The second area is the influence, I would argue, the determining influence, of money on the outcomes of elections.
Both of these issues have been created by the idiotic interpretation by the Supreme Court of what is meant by "person".
The current interpretation that a Corporation, as a collection of individuals, has he same constitutionally guaranteed rights, such as "free speech" as a "natural person" is a complete perversion. 
In practice this interpretation has reversed, and completely emasculated the concept of "one person, one vote", and thus reintroduced the concept that "persons of property" are the only ones who should be allowed to vote, or more accurately, the wealth of a person determines the leverage with which he or she votes. This is, or should be, completely counter to any modern concept of democracy.

Sovereign Immunity:
As far as I can understand the discussion in this chapter, the issue here is the ability of the Federal government to bring legal actions against state governments for violating federal laws or the constitution. Given, for example, that the Federal government successfully forced state and local governments to abide by the Equal Rights legislation, this to me seems a mute point. Other examples cites, as for example that a State University might be immune from prosecution for violation of copyright laws, while a private university might be held liable, is in the scheme of things a relatively minor issue.

The Death Penalty:
On balance I am in favor of eliminating the death penalty. It has obviously not worked as a deterrent to violent crime, as most other advanced countries, which have eliminated the death penalty, have lower violent crime rates than the U.S. The increasing evidence of significant numbers of executions of innocents is also a powerful argument against the death penalty. Finally, the long and expensive appeals process, once sentenced to death, makes it a less reasonable alternative to life imprisonment without parole.
This particular issue, given the current trends, might be non-controversion enough to actually make it the the process of passing an Amendment.

The Second Amendment (Gun Control)
The new Amendment, as proposed by Justice Powell, strikes me as silly. Who would ever think of organizing a militia and then bar its members from bearing arms?
If the legal minds on the current Supreme Court, trained in the perversion of simple English, can misrepresent the meaning of the current text of the Second Amendment, then they will not be deterred from finding a way around the amended wording either.
We will just have to wait for a new slate of reasonably literate Supreme Court Justices.

Monday, July 20, 2015

Europe’s Impossible Dream

by Paul Krugman

July 20, 2015

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/07/20/opinion/paul-krugman-europes-impossible-dream.html?ref=international&_r=0


Most academic economists continue to make the wrong-headed and arrogant assumption that there is a "science of economics", separate and apart from politics and other social sciences, with immutable scientific "laws", which unfailingly govern how a society and its economic activity will develop.

If you want to talk about "fantasy economics", today's mainstream academic economics is a prime example. Based as it is on largely false assumptions of "rational, fully informed decision making", it pretends to derive nicely behaving demand curves, and from that derives the myth of "self-correcting, self-optimizing" economics. This myth could be excused in the times of Adam Smith and the "Age of Reason" movements around the same time. Today there is overwhelming evidence that only a relatively small subset of human decision making is based on rational thought and full information.

The "fantasy" is even worse for macroeconomics, which assumes that individual demand curves can be aggregated to form a "market demand curve". Efforts to prove this resulted in the Sonnenschein-Mantel-Debreu (SMD) theorem, which actually disproves that adding up demand curves results in a well behaved Market Demand Curve.

What academic economists refuse to accept is that "economics" does not exist in a vacuum outside politics and other social sciences. The EU and Euro are primarily political projects; they will persist. Even today most Greeks want to stay in the Euro because they see its benefits.

Wednesday, July 15, 2015

An Unsustainable Position

by Paul Krugman

July 15, 2015

http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2015/07/15/an-unsustainable-position/?comments#permid=15496855

So Prof. Krugman's "expert" advice on how to get Greece back to economic and fiscal health is to give it access to unlimited additional funds, with no attached requirements to, for example, correct the comparatively excessive pension costs and poor tax collection effectiveness - see Steven Rattner's collumn in today's NYT.

That would be a similar position as if the US and allies had gone into the Iran nuclear negotiations with the promise to remove all sanctions - to relieve the Iranian people of the economic hardship they have caused - without any requirements on Iran to curtail its nuclear program.

Brilliant!